Conference betting tips: plays for this weekend
January 27, 2023
The NFL season is coming to a close with only four teams left in play for the superbowl. In the NFC (National Football Conference), the 49ers will be traveling to Philedelphia to face the Eagles in the conference championship. Both teams had convincing wins in the divisional round with the 49ers beating the Cowboys and the Eagles blowing out the Giants. In the AFC (American Football Conference), the Bengals will be heading to Kansas City to face the Chiefs in the conference championship. Both played great games with Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow picking apart the Bills defense and leading the Bengals to a 17 point victory. The Chiefs held off the Jaguars only winning 27-20. During the game, star quarterback Patrick Mahomes had a scary right ankle injury.
NFC Championship Game
The opening line in this game is Philadelphia -3 which is a very reasonable spread considering the Eagles just had a blowout win beating the Giants by 31 points. Though, I could definitely see the 49ers beating the Eagles. Kyle Shanahan is one of the best coaches in the league and an offensive mastermind. He makes it very easy on his rookie quarterback Brock Purdy, who has won seven straight since being named the starter. I think Brock Purdy takes his 1st loss of the season and Eagles quarterback, Jalen Hurts goes to his 1st superbowl ever. To make a parlay out of this game I would take Eagles moneyline, I would take the under (45.5) in this game because the niners have the best defense in the league as well as also sometimes have trouble on offense. The 49ers only scored 19 points last game and have only allowed 35 points in their last two playoff games. I see rookie quarterback Brock Purdy crumbling under the pressure in Philly and not having the best offensive day so I would definitely not bet on him having the over with passing attempts, passing yards and touchdowns. Instead, I like taking 49ers running back, Chrisitian McCaffery having over one touchdown and rounding out the parlay with Hurts having over one touchdown. The Eagles have an average rush defense that could definitely be exposed by one of the leagues best running back, McCaffery as well as his ability to run, his ability to catch outside the backfield makes him a dual threat to defenses. I picked Hurts to be the last leg of the parlay for the same reason, he is a dual threat. Jalen Hurts has great weapons surrounding his offense with two great receivers in AJ Brown and Devonta Smith and tight end Dallas Goedert and has the best offensive line in the NFL. Hurts has 14 rushing touchdowns on the season and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see number 15 against the 49ers.
AFC Championship Game
The opening line started out Chiefs one and a half but by January 26th the line now is at -1 which has gone down because of the Mahomes ankle injury. Chiefs fans have every right to be scared for this game with Mahomes not at a 100% and this Bengals team heating up at the right time. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow, looked so poised and locked in last week against a good Bills defense with three inches of snow falling the whole game. The Bengals overwhelmed the Bills beating them 27-10 in Buffalo which was only done once during the season. I like the Bengals moneyline because I trust a healthy Burrow more than a banged up Mahomes. With the over under being at 47.5 I wouldn’t really add this in my parlay because it is to hard to tell if both teams will be able to get over 24 points but if I were bet on it, I would take the over on the spread. To round the parlay off, I like Jamar Chase, Travis Kelce, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes to all have at least one touchdown. Both teams have top 10 defenses in the league but these guys are all top five in their position when healthy.
All lines and odds are from Betmgm